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Wednesday, December 9, 2009

NASA's Latest Plans To Put Humans On Mars

NASA's latest manned Mars mission plan now available

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NASA's 100-page Mars Design Reference Architecture 5.0, elements of which were first seen in a 1 October 2007 presentation, is now available on the Lunar and Planetary Institute's exploration strategies website with a publication date of July 2009. But this blogger can't find any blogosphere links to it that date to then or since so here it is! Exclusively! With a 406-page addendum and a 47-page executive summary there is plenty to trawl through from this study that was first announced in 2006 - click through to the extended portion of this blogpost for more comment

drm 5.0.JPG

Then NASA administrator Michael Griffin announced at the 9th International Mars SocietyConvention in Washington DC on 3 August 2006 that his agency would undertake studies of manned Mars missions in 2007. The July 2009 DRA 5.0 report now makes it clear that in 2007 there was a Mars architecture study - the outcome of which was seen in the aforementioned October presentation given at the NASA's Lunar exploration analysis group meeting

There was a design reference mission for Mars in the 2005 Exploration Systems Architecture Study (ESAS) that was the basis for NASA's Constellation programme. In fact Constellation's planning was really supposed to begin with Mars and work backwards for the simple reason that Orion crew exploration vehicle and the Ares V cargo launch vehicle would have to be designed with the Mars mission in mind. The Mars Orion was the Block 3 Orion, back when there was the Block one, the International Space Station cargo Orion variant, and the Block two for the crewed lunar version

But as the ESAS executive summary says on page 10, "The scope of the ESAS was only to address the transportation of the crew to a Mars Transfer Vehicle (MTV) in LEO or re-entering from the MTV at the conclusion of the Mars mission, and to provide the design of a CaLV with an LEO cargo capacity of 125 mT."

And now we have the full blown DRA 5.0 in all its glory

With a notional start date of 2035 the DRA 5.0 has three Apollo style six-crew 914-day missions that are conducted over 10-years, with each mission going to a different surface location

Using the long stay "conjunction class" approach each mission could require at least seven Ares V cargo launch vehicle launches sending pre-deployed assets such as the Descent/Ascent Vehicle (DAV)

These manned flights would be preceded by Mars and lunar missions using robots and human trips to the Moon

Interestingly it says on page 35 of the DRA 5.0 report that: "the technical assessments conducted for the DRA 5.0 focused primarily on the launch vehicle, interplanetary transportation, and EDL systems." No point looking at the surface systems then...

The interplanetary tansportation Marships would be assembled in a 407km (252mile) circular orbit. Its propulsion, habitat and other cargo elements are launched 30-days apart with launches beginning months before the Marship(s) is to conduct its double trans-Mars injection burns needed to achieve Earth escape for a 174-day transit, for the crew, to the red planet. Cargo launches would be slower

Four Ares V launches would be needed for the two cargo Marships, also known as Mars Transfer Vehicles (MTV), needed for each manned mission, followed by three Ares V launches for the crewed MTV. An Ares I launch would get the Orion crew exploration vehicle to the crew MTV

The Marships would use clusters of three nuclear thermal rockets with up to 25,000lb (111kN)-thrust and up to 950s specific impulse using liquid hydrogen. Three engines are used for an engine out capability

The team also studied an all-chemical MTV but this option was rejected

chemical marship.JPG
credit NASA / caption: this concept was rejected because of the many launches needed for assembly

Reaching the planet, the orbit insertion burn aims to put the MTVs into a 250km x 33,793km orbit. While cargo orbit insertion could use aerocapture, the baseline for crew is propulsive

For Mars entry for crew and cargo the Ares V shroud is used as an aeroshell payload entry shield. Its 30m long and 10m wide and is 6,500kg heavier than the standard fairing. So the report states that it expects a payload reduction of up to 10%

The aeroshell shield thermal protection system (TPS) would be a mix of Phenolic Impregnated Carbon Ablative (PICA) and Space Shuttle heritage technologies including the LI-2200 and 900 tiles and the Felt Reusable Surface Insulation blankets

Once the shroud is ejected the entry, descent and landing (EDL) system could use supersonic aerodynamic inflatable decelerators, supersonic retro-propulsion, rigid hypersonic deployed decelerators or hypersonic inflatable decelerators, e.g. inflatable heat shields, and parachutes to slow the vehicle down for landing. The report states that previous EDL mass estimates were too low and that there is likely to be further payload penalties

The DAV MTV would land the descent, ascent vehicle as soon as it reached Mars while the Surface Habitat (SHAB) Marship would stay in Martian orbit awaiting the crew

Once landed the DAV, which uses liquid oxygen, methane pump fed engines, uses its own nuclear power reactor for producing CH4 propellant from the Martian atmosphere

When the crew reaches Mars orbit they transfer in the Orion to the SHAB, which will act as a lander. Like the DAV the SHAB is contained within the Ares V shroud and has its own EDL. Once it lands the SHAB would operate as a habitat

The six-crew would spend up to 539-days on the surface using the SHAB and pressurised and unpressurised manned rovers

Returning to the crew MTV using the DAV they would have a 201-day journey back to Earth, transferring to the Orion for direct Earth re-entry. The MTV would fly past Earth on a heliocentric orbit

For this direct re-entry the Orion block three has to have improved TPS to cope with a re-entry speed of 12km/s. According to the report previous studies had re-entry at 14km/s but the DRA 5.0 team thought they could get that down to 12km/s. Direct lunar re-entry is 11km/s

After the Apollo era's Avcoat was selected over PICA for Orion block two at the beginning of this year perhaps that should have been included in the report? The other challenge for Orion is that it will spend three years in space with much of that in a cold soak state and will need to be certified for that

The report states that to develop all the technologies needed for this a major technology programme is required but with the president Barack Obama review of US human spaceflight plans likely to see a new vision for exploration that pushes any manned mars effort way, way out into the future such a programme, along with all these reports, is just very very academic

However NASA has also funded a scaled back DRA 5.0 study and on the Jet Propulsion Laboratory website there is a presentation all about and its called the "Austere Human missions to Mars" study. It seems some at NASA have finally learned a lesson from the budgets Congress wants to give the agency and this austere approach assumes no more funding per year for the Mars effort than ISS gets now and a four crew flight every four years

Perhaps an austere 5.0 will feature in the flexible path?

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5 Comments

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1. the architecture proposed is extremely complex and dangerous and has an high risk of failure
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2. the Mars missions absolutely CAN'T be accomplished with "chemical" rockets
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3. if we want to see a Mars mission happen in a reasonable time (within 2030) NASA (with or without other international partners) must have NOW the funds to start the basic research and tests of the Mars mission's hardware, as explained in this article:
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http://www.ghostnasa.com/posts/047gotomars.html
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This kind of plan is out of place today. It is from a 1960s perspective that is no longer relevant. The people a mars mission is relevant to live in a different world than the people who orchestrated this study. By the time a mars mission happens, the last of the people who saw apollo will be in nursing homes.

Putting all your eggs into a basket to race for mars when no one else is racing and you have no reason to go... is ridiculous. It will not be supported.

The only way any of us will see people near mars is if international partners share the critical path and build each stage of the mission together. That could also mean people orbiting mars in giant radiation-shielded ships before ever needing to pay for human landers and ground habitats.

Greason and Augustine and friends said it already. The best minds in the business want to go to mars, but they want to go the right way, they want to go and stay. A sustainable way.

Robert Horning

If the last of the people who saw Apollo live from the Moon are going to be in a nursing home, that would include ME! I was in Kindergarten when Apollo 15 flew, and I still remember my teacher having my class sit down and watch the astronauts do their explorations while my teacher got us some juice and carrots for a snack.

My kids have grown up during the era of the Space Shuttle, and what concerns me is that at the current pace that NASA is setting, the Shuttle era looks like it will have been the real, genuine "golden era" of the Manned Spaceflight Corps.

One of my sons has a strong desire to become an astronaut, and is starting high school where he has to make the academic choices necessary to make that dream a reality. I happen to know on a personal basis one former Apollo-era astronaut who lives nearby (I'm friends with his kids), and I'm quite familiar with what is necessary to become an astronaut. I'm trying real hard to not discourage my kid when I think he has a better shot at getting into the NFL or becoming a CEO of a Fortune 500 company (next to none). Still, it will take some starry-eyed kids like him to make up the future astronaut corp.

I don't know if my son will make it into space, but I do think it will be kids of his age that will be the commanders of the first mission to Mars... however that will happen. The current political climate is such that at least a couple of generations of astronauts will go by before anybody is really serious about getting to Mars, if it even happens then.

Great stuff. Thanks for posting.

I think we should send 50 peope to mars and plan for them to stay there. 1-way missions mean you can send more stuff on the first trip. They would be pioneers and there would be plenty of volunteers.

Nice but what's the use? Mars is out. Same goes for the Moon. I would've liked to see it all happen. Finally going to the Moon and then to Mars with the intention to make it a routine. Men conquering the solar system... What made us stop?? Is it the rebirth of a new kind of geocentrism?

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