November 07, 2011 "The Australian" - ISRAELI President Shimon Peres has warned that an attack on Iran was "more and more likely," ahead of tomorrow's release of a report by the UN nuclear watchdog, which is expected to say Tehran has tested nuclear triggering technology and modified ballistic missiles to carry nuclear warheads.
Mr Peres told Israeli television's second channel: "The intelligence services of the different countries that are keeping an eye on (Iran) are worried and putting pressure on their leaders to warn that Iran is ready to obtain the nuclear weapon."
"We must turn to these countries to ensure that they keep their commitments . . . this must be done, and there is a long list of options," Mr Peres declared.
In the past week, Israel has test-launched a nuclear-capable Jericho 3 missile, which can reach Iran. On Thursday, it completed a major civil defence drill in the Tel Aviv region aimed at simulating a response to conventional and non-conventional missile attacks. The drill fuelled speculation that Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu was pressing his military for a decision about when and how to strike Iran.
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Such a strike, say Israeli sources, would have to involve air, sea and even land forces on a devastating scale as there would be the opportunity for only one "hit". Even so, there is fear of retaliation by Iran's conventional, long-range Shihab missiles.
On Wednesday, Haaretz newspaper reported that Mr Netanyahu and Defence Minister Ehud Barak were seeking to win cabinet support for a strike. Haaretz said no decision had yet been taken on any military strike, and a report from the International Atomic Energy Agency nuclear watchdog to be released tomorrow would have a "decisive effect" on the decision-making process.
Previous IAEA assessments have centred on Iran's efforts to produce fissile material -- uranium and plutonium -- that can be for power generation and other peaceful uses, and also in a nuclear bomb.
The update will focus on Iran's alleged efforts to put the radioactive material in a warhead and to develop missiles to carry them to a target.
Israeli experts have described the Iranian program as "alarming," and Foreign Minister Avigdor Lieberman has said the report would prove "beyond doubt" its military aims. He hoped Iran would be targeted by a new series of international sanctions.
Israeli sources said their latest evidence amounted to "a smoking gun" that Iran's nuclear program was designed to produce weapons rather than for civil purposes, as Tehran claims. The report is expected to signal a change in attitude by the IAEA, an independent body charged with monitoring nuclear programs and preventing proliferation that reports to the UN.
President Barack Obama, has said that the US and its allies would maintain "unprecedented pressure" on Tehran to prevent it acquiring weapons. President Nicolas Sarkozy said before last week's G20 summit that France would not stand idly by if Israel's existence were threatened.
Since the departure of the previous head of the IAEA, Mohamed ElBaradei, the institution is said to have collected intelligence from agencies including the US British, Israeli, German and French services.
"It's obvious the IAEA has no capability to challenge the cunning way the Iranians are concealing their nuclear program without the help of Western intelligence services," said an Israeli source.
Iran says its program is for peaceful purposes. Its Foreign Minister Ali Akbar Salehi said yesterday the IAEA report was based on "counterfeit" claims. "One can counterfeit money, but it remains counterfeit. These documents are like that."
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