The First Authoritative Prediction of the 2016 Presidential Election

http://www.dailykos.com/story/2016/06/29/1543748/-538-launches-first-general-election-forecast-2016-Hillary-353-EVs-Trump-183-81-chance-of-win?detail=email&link_id=1&can_id=7be8dbbe60369eb44b214157f29151f1&source=email-nate-silvers-538-launches-first-general-election-forecast-2016&email_referrer=nate-silvers-538-launches-first-general-election-forecast-2016&email_subject=nate-silvers-538-launches-first-general-election-forecast-2016