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Saturday, March 28, 2009

The Dire Future of Mexico

The Dire Future For Mexico Edit Delete
7:41PM, Saturday, 28 Mar, 2009
My readers I have more than a passing knowledge of large-scale drug dealers. I wrote a biography of Paul Lir Alexander. He was the Baron of Cocaine in Brasil. He was rated as one of the top ten drug dealers of all times. At the moment he is serving a 45-year sentence in a prison outside of Minas Gerais, Brasil.

I got to know a lot about the Colombian drug cartels. The Medellin cartel was as bloody and ruthless as they came. We all have heard of their late leader Pablo Escobar. The Cali cartel was more pragmatic and business like. But they could be very rough and violent also.

In any event they had good common sense. They realized that if they exported their violence to the US and other developed countries, there would be a huge back lash that would lead to their destruction.

Both cartles used an ingenious distribution system inside the US. They would pick a well-educated Colombian and send him to the US. THis person would get a Green Card, buy a middle class house, drive a middle class car, and simply appear to be a hard working and honest immigrant. Any police check would turn up nothing to make authoprities suspicious. These people often distributed drugs for decades without getting detected.

Now we have the very virulent and violent Mexican drug cartels. They just haul the drugs to local distributors and let them sell the product. They also have initiated a campaign of violence and murder here in the US. They seem to have complete disregard for the laws of this country or its power.

As the US and Mexico move to crush these cartels, we will see a huge escalation of violence right here in the USA. These cartels get $20 billion US dollars each year from drug sales. They will also attract money from the same wealthy Muslim elements in the Middle East who fund Al Qaeda and other radical groups. With this large war chest, these cartels will be able to launch trerrorist attacks and start firing rockets into US cities. Areas near the Mexican border will become like Israeli areas near Palestinians. The drug cartels will adopt similar tactics. They will have funding like the Palestinians never dreamed of. They also will be cold-booded and brutal is a way Palestinians never were.

The US will step up efforts to stop the drug flow and interdict the flow of money and weapons back to Mexico. These moves will fail as they have for the last 30-40 years. Troops will be mobilized and sent to the Mexican border with great fanfare. US Army, Navy and Marine Corps "Special Ops" units will go into Mexico chasing the cartels. Unmanned Predator drones will hunt down and kill cartel leaders. The full technology and power of the US will not stop these cartels. They have lost the so called War On Drugs for 30 years after spending $40 billion dollars and putting hundreds of thousands of people in prison for decades.

Sadly little or nothing will be done to stop the huge demand for drugs. Any talk of legalization will be shouted down by conservative elements.

Eventually the US will seal the border and send troops into Mexico. The Mexican state will collapse. It could break apart. Its economy will collapse.

My suggestion to the US authorities is to hire Israeli Army and intelligence officials who have experience fighting these kind of insurgencies.

It breaks my heart to see this happen. My wife and I had our honey moon in Mexico City. I have spent years in Mexico. I only have the warmest and most wonderful memories of the people there.

In 1982 Ridley Scott produced the cult classic film Blade Runner. It was a dark vision of the future. Sadly it appears that he was right.

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