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Tuesday, September 26, 2017

Jack's Warning About War With North Korea

Stratfor is the finest private intelligence agency on earth. They posted an article warning that the risk of war between the US and North Korea grows. They see a high probability of an incident leading to war. That article in on my timeline, by the way.
North Korea is hinting at firing an ICBM with a hydrogen bomb on it over Japan. It would then detonate in the air or on the surface of the Pacific Ocean. I can't remember any other country firing a warhead like this for a nuclear test.
The North Korean missile could go off course and hit Japan. Please let your own imagination look at possibilities here. The US very well could attempt to shoot it down with an anti-missile. This would be considered an act of war by the North Koreans. If the shoot down doesn't go right, the missile and a "hot nuclear war head" could land anywhere.
We could see US or North Korean aircraft shoot down escalating the tensions rapidly. There are many permutations and combinations.
Everyone assumes a degree of rationality and restraint. The conventional wisdom is that North Korea will not fire nukes unless they see a decapitation strike to affect a regime change. Once actual hostilities commence, no one can predict what will happen. The late Robert McNamara always warned about "the fog of war" and unpredictability.
I just have an awful feeling that something awful is going to happen.

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