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Friday, October 24, 2025
The Movie "A House Of Dynamite"-New Perspectives
“A House of Dynamite” is one of those rare films that makes one exclaim: “Oh my God, that is what it is really like!” Sadly, Kathryn Bigelow had only one hour and fifty-five minutes to tell you a story that should have taken four hours to tell. Please allow me to “fill in the blanks.”
What we have here is a nuclear terrorism event on a grand scale. Some years ago, President Bush 2’s expert on nuclear terrorism wrote a short novel in documentary form titled. “The Right of Boom.” In the book, an unnamed terrorist group smuggles in a 20-kiloton Hiroshima-style nuclear warhead into Washington, DC. Please bear in mind that the nuclear warhead heading for Chicago in the film is most probably a one megaton warhead with a yield of one million tons of TNT-50 times more powerful than the nuclear warhead smuggled into Washington, DC.) The terrorists detonated the warhead. What follows is a graphic description of the property damage and loss of life. Most troubling is that 6 months after the detonation, the best scientific minds in the US cannot figure out where the nuclear weapon came from. They do not know who to retaliate against. Please keep this strongly in mind. It could be the outcome here.
Now, please follow me as I do some careful detective work to figure out what happened. The first suspect who comes to mind is North Korea. I certainly do not have access to any classified documents or military secrets. I do have two superb military advisors who do deep and careful research. One of these is the Binkovs. They do not believe that North Korea has a ballistic missile with the range to hit Chicago. They also say that North Korea does not have a reentry vehicle capable of bringing a long-range warhead through Earth’s atmosphere. Any North Korean nuclear attack would consist of “lobbing” nuclear warheads at South Korea or, perhaps, Japan.
One key satellite was out of operation, so the US could not precisely pinpoint where the missile was launched. Its sudden appearance “out of nowhere” leads me to believe that it was a submarine-launched ballistic missile. Several countries have a submarine-launched ballistic missile with the range to hit Chicago from the Pacific as follows:
China, France, Russia, the United Kingdom, and the United States possess submarine-launched ballistic missiles (SLBMs) capable of delivering a nuclear warhead from launch positions in the Pacific Ocean to Chicago. These missiles have ranges exceeding 7,000 km, sufficient for distances of approximately 3,700 km (from off the U.S. West Coast) to 7,900 km (from mid-Pacific), while carrying nuclear payloads.
Country
SLBM
Range (km)
Status
China
JL-2
7,000+
Operational
China
JL-3
9,000+
Operational
France
M51.2
8,000+
Operational
Russia
RSM-54 Sineva
8,300
Operational
Russia
RSM-56 Bulava
8,300
Operational
United Kingdom
Trident II D5
7,400–12,000
Operational
United States
Trident II D5
7,400–12,000
Operational
Let us eliminate the US, UK, and France from the list of possible suspects. What remains are Russia and China. Let us look at what types of nuclear warheads their submarines carry:
Warhead Yields for Specified SLBMs
Warhead yields for submarine-launched ballistic missiles (SLBMs) are often classified or estimated, with variations based on single warhead vs. multiple independently targetable reentry vehicle (MIRV) configurations. The data below draws from open-source analyses as of late 2024–early 2025. Yields are typically in kilotons (kt) or megatons (Mt) of TNT equivalent.
Missile
Country
Primary Configuration
Yield Details
Sources
JL-2
China
Single warhead
Up to 1 Mt
JL-2
China
MIRV (3–8 warheads)
90–150 kt each (e.g., 3–4 × 90 kt)
JL-3
China
Single warhead
250–1,000 kt
JL-3
China
MIRV (likely 3–8 warheads)
Lower yields (e.g., 90–150 kt each, similar to JL-2)
We very well could have a one-megaton warhead heading for Chicago. What would happen if a one megaton nuclear warhead hit Chicago?
Immediate Effects of a 1 Megaton Airburst Nuclear Detonation Over Chicago
A 1 megaton (Mt) nuclear warhead is equivalent to 1 million tons of TNT—about 67 times the yield of the Hiroshima bomb. Assuming an optimal airburst detonation (typically at 1-2 km altitude to maximize blast and thermal effects while minimizing fallout) centered on downtown Chicago (e.g., coordinates 41.8781° N, 87.6298° W, near the Loop), the explosion would unleash a cascade of destructive forces. These include a massive fireball, shockwave, intense heat, radiation, and electromagnetic pulse (EMP). Chicago's dense urban population (over 2.7 million in the city proper, plus suburbs) and high-rise structures would amplify the devastation, leading to unprecedented casualties and infrastructure collapse.
The effects diminish with distance but would still impact surrounding areas like Evanston, Oak Park, and even parts of Indiana across Lake Michigan. Simulations from tools like NUKEMAP and nuclear blast calculators provide the following estimates, based on declassified data from sources like The Effects of Nuclear Weapons by Glasstone and Dolan.
1. Fireball and Vaporization
Description: The initial fireball would reach temperatures of 100 million °C, vaporizing everything within it instantly. This includes people, buildings, vehicles, and the ground below.
Radius: Approximately 0.5–1 km (0.3–0.6 miles) from ground zero.
Impact: Total annihilation; no survivors. In Chicago, this would engulf landmarks like the Willis Tower and Millennium Park, creating a crater-like scar if any surface contact occurs.
2. Blast Wave (Air Pressure Shock)
The blast wave travels at supersonic speeds, destroying structures via overpressure (psi = pounds per square inch). It would level much of the city center, hurl debris, and cause widespread structural failures.
Damage Level
Overpressure
Radius from Ground Zero
Effects in the Chicago Context
Severe (Heavy Damage)
5 psi
~6.4 km (4 miles)
Most buildings collapse; concrete skyscrapers are heavily damaged or toppled; underground infrastructure (e.g., L trains, sewers) is ruptured. Fatalities: ~50%; Injuries: ~90%. Covers the Loop to Lincoln Park.
Moderate
1–2 psi
~16 km (10 miles)
Residential and commercial buildings are severely damaged (walls collapse, roofs cave); factories and bridges fail; vehicles are overturned. Fatalities: ~5%; Injuries: ~50%. Extends to suburbs like Evanston and Cicero.
Light
0.25–0.5 psi
~24–32 km (15–20 miles)
Windows shatter citywide; light-frame houses damaged; minor injuries from flying glass. Fatalities: <1%; Injuries: ~25%. Reaches O'Hare Airport and Gary, IN.
The blast would arrive in seconds, with winds exceeding 1,000 km/h (620 mph) near the epicenter, transitioning to hurricane-force gusts farther out.
3. Thermal Radiation (Heat Flash)
Description: A brief (seconds-long) pulse of infrared and visible light, igniting fires and causing flash burns. It would start massive firestorms from ruptured gas lines, electrical shorts, and flammable materials.
Radius: Third-degree burns (skin charring, lethal without treatment) up to ~32 km (20 miles); first-degree burns (blisters) to ~40 km (25 miles).
Impact: Exposed skin ignites; dark clothing or surfaces absorb heat, exacerbating fires. In Chicago, this could engulf 500+ km² in flames, creating a firestorm drawing in oxygen and producing hurricane-force winds. Historical analogs (e.g., Hiroshima) show firestorms killing tens of thousands via asphyxiation and burns.
4. Ionizing Radiation (Prompt and Fallout)
Prompt Radiation: Gamma rays and neutrons emitted in the first minute.
Lethal Radius: ~2–3 km (1.2–1.9 miles) for 500 rem dose (50% fatality within 30 days without treatment).
Impact: Immediate sickness or death; survivors suffer acute radiation syndrome (nausea, organ failure).
Fallout: Minimal for airburst (most radioactive material lofted high and dispersed globally), but some local contamination from ground debris. Winds could carry eastward over Lake Michigan, affecting downwind areas like Milwaukee with elevated radiation for days to weeks.
5. Electromagnetic Pulse (EMP)
Description: A high-altitude burst (if detonated higher) generates an EMP disrupting electronics over hundreds of km; a low airburst affects ~10–20 km radius.
Impact: Blackouts across the Midwest; failure of power grids, communications, vehicles, and hospitals. Chicago's grid would collapse, hindering rescue efforts.
Estimated Casualties
Based on NUKEMAP simulations for a 1 Mt airburst over Chicago:
Fatalities: Approximately 1.99 million (immediate from blast/heat; additional from fires and radiation).
Injuries: Approximately 2.54 million (burns, trauma, radiation sickness). These figures account for daytime population density (~9 million in the metro area) and assume no sheltering. Hospitals would be obliterated or overwhelmed, with survivors facing triage horrors.
Immediate Aftermath (First Hours to Days)
Fires and Chaos: A firestorm could burn for days, consuming wood-frame suburbs and high-rises. Smoke would blanket the region, reducing visibility and air quality.
Infrastructure Collapse: O'Hare and Midway airports destroyed; rail and road networks severed; water/sewage systems ruptured, leading to contamination.
Humanitarian Crisis: Millions fleeing; emergency services nonexistent in the core. Radiation and debris would contaminate rescue paths.
Environmental: Lake Michigan is contaminated; wildlife and ecosystems are devastated.
Long-Term Consequences (Weeks to Years)
Health: Radiation sickness kills thousands more; increased cancer rates for decades. Burn victims strain global medical resources.
Economic: Chicago's role as a financial/transport hub (3rd-largest U.S. metro economy) halts; national GDP drops 5–10%; rebuilding costs trillions.
Social/Psychological: Mass displacement (millions homeless); societal breakdown; global shockwaves, potentially escalating conflicts.
Recovery: Decades-long; Hiroshima (15 kt) took years to rebuild—scale this by 67x.
This scenario underscores nuclear weapons' indiscriminate horror. Real outcomes vary by exact yield, burst height, weather, and response. For interactive visualization, tools like NUKEMAP offer personalized simulations.
What catches my attention is a scenario where there was a mutiny on one of the boomers or submarines, each carrying 16 ballistic missiles. One missile was launched before control was restored on the submarine. We have seen all sorts of instability recently in the People’s Liberation Army, with 16 senior generals being fired. There is constant instability in the Russian military ranks. It is not implausible to believe that a mutiny could take place on one of these ballistic missile submarines.
If Russia or China were confronted about this, they would claim that it was a tragic event not ordered by their governments. There would be no basis to have a full-scale nuclear retaliation destroying most of the world under these circumstances. If Chairman Xi were shown irrefutable proof that one of his missiles did the damage, he would eventually take responsibility and start paying damages in the trillions of dollars. If President Putin were shown the same evidence, he would deny it until the day he died. In the darkest depths of my mind, I would suspect that Putin would fabricate a mutiny like this to ”get even” with the US over his failures in Ukraine.
Let us go back to Melbourne, Australia, in 1967. A resourceful prison inmate got a gun smuggled to him. He staged an escape attempt. There was a shootout between him and the prison guards. One prison officer was killed. The prison inmate was charged with murder, found guilty, and after he exhausted his appeals, he was hanged in Pentridge Prison. One medical examiner was not comfortable with what had happened. He took another look at the bullet that killed the prison officer and did ballistics. The bullet had not come from the inmate’s gun. It had come from another prison officer’s gun. An innocent man had been hanged. The medical examiner did not hide his findings. He publicly announced them. What followed was a firestorm of rage and moral indignation throughout Australia. There never was another hanging in Australia. Eventually, all Australian states abolished capital punishment.
If the scenario with Chicago ever took place, there would be a firestorm of rage and moral indignation worldwide. Nuclear weapons would be abolished.
Thursday, October 23, 2025
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Notorious Cyber Scam Hub Linked To Chinese Mafia Raided In Myanmar!
Notorious cyber scam hub linked to Chinese mafia raided
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Jonathan HeadSouth East Asia correspondent
Getty Images This aerial photo taken on September 17, 2025 shows the KK Park complex in Myanmar's eastern Myawaddy township, as pictured from Mae Sot district in Thailand's border province of Tak. Getty Images
KK Park is one of several scam compounds along the Thai-Myanmar border
The Myanmar military says it has captured one of the most notorious scam compounds on the border with Thailand, as it reclaims key territory it lost in the ongoing civil war.
KK Park, south of the border town of Myawaddy, has been synonymous with online fraud, money laundering and human trafficking for the past five years.
Thousands of people were lured to the compound with the promise of well-paid jobs, and then forced to run elaborate scams, stealing billions of dollars from victims all over the world.
The military, long tainted by its links to the scam business, now says it has taken the complex as it expands control around Myawaddy, the main trade link to Thailand.
In recent weeks the military, or junta, has pushed back insurgents in several parts of Myanmar, aiming to maximise the number of places where it can hold a planned election, starting in December.
It still doesn't control large swathes of the country, which has been torn apart by conflict since a military coup in February 2021. The election has been dismissed as a sham by opposition forces who have vowed to block it in areas they hold.
KK Park began with a lease agreement in early 2020 to build an industrial park between the Karen National Union (KNU), the ethnic insurgent group which controls much of this region, and a little-known Hong Kong listed company, Huanya International.
Researchers believe there are links between Huanya and a prominent Chinese underworld figure Wan Kuok Koi, better known as Broken Tooth, who has since invested in other scam centres on the border.
The complex expanded rapidly, and is easily visible from the Thai side of the border.
Those who managed to escape from it describe a brutal regime imposed on the thousands of people, many from African countries, who were held there, forced to work long hours, with torture and beatings inflicted on those who failed to meet targets.
Getty Images This photo taken on September 17, 2025 shows what appears to be a Starlink satellite dish on the roof of a building at the KK Park complex in Myanmar's eastern Myawaddy township, as pictured from Mae Sot district in Thailand's border province of Tak.Getty Images
A Starlink satellite dish on the roof of a building at the KK Park complex
A statement by the junta's information ministry said its forces had "cleared" KK Park, releasing more than 2,000 workers there and confiscating 30 of Elon Musk's Starlink satellite terminals – widely used by scam centres on the Thai-Myanmar border for online activities.
The statement blamed what it called the "terrorist" Karen National Union and volunteer people's defence forces, which have been fighting the junta since the coup, for illegally occupying the area.
The junta's claim to have shut down this infamous scam centre is almost certainly directed at its main patron, China. Beijing has been pressing the junta and the Thai government to do more to end the illegal businesses run by Chinese syndicates on their border.
Earlier this year thousands of Chinese workers were taken out of scam compounds and flown on chartered planes back to China, after Thailand cut access to power and fuel supplies.
But KK Park is only one of at least 30 similar compounds located on the border. Most of these are under the protection of Karen militia groups allied to the junta, and most are still operating, with tens of thousands of people running scams inside them.
In fact, the support of these militia groups has been crucial in helping the military drive back the KNU and other resistance groups from territory they captured over the past two years.
The military now controls nearly all of the road linking Myawaddy to the rest of Myanmar, a goal the junta set itself before it holds the first stage of the election in December.
It has taken Lay Kay Kaw, a new town established for the KNU with Japanese funding in 2015, a time when there had been hopes for lasting peace in Karen State following a national ceasefire.
That is a more significant blow to the KNU than the takeover of KK Park, from which it did get some revenue, but where most of the financial benefits went to pro-junta militias.
A well-placed source has told the BBC that scam work is continuing in KK Park, and that it is likely the military took control of only part of the sprawling complex.
The source also believes Beijing is giving the Myanmar military lists of Chinese individuals it wants taken from the scam compounds, and sent back to face trial in China, which may explain why KK Park was attacked.
Read more about Myanmar's scam compounds
'I need help': Freed from Myanmar's scam centres, thousands are now stranded
Casinos, high-rises and fraud: The BBC visits a bizarre city built on scams
The Chinese mafia's downfall in a lawless casino town
Monday, October 20, 2025
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The US Government Just Seized A Record $15 Billion From A Sprawling Cyber-Fraud Empire
The US government just seized a record $15 billion of bitcoin from a 'sprawling cyber-fraud empire'
By Max Adams, Updated 06:42 PM PDT, Tue October 14, 2025
Markets Insider
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YASIN AKGUL/AFP via Getty Images
The Justice Department on Tuesday said it seized $15 billion worth of bitcoin.
It charged a man named Chen Zhi with wire fraud and money laundering.
The forfeiture action against the pig butchering operation is the largest ever reported by the department.
The US Department of Justice announced a record haul of bitcoin on Tuesday.
The department charged a man named Chen Zhi in the Eastern District of New York, stating that it seized 127,271 bitcoin worth about $15 billion. According to a statement, it's the largest forfeiture action in the department's history.
The charges include money laundering and wire fraud and are tied to a "pig butchering" scheme in Cambodia.
"Individuals held against their will in the compounds engaged in cryptocurrency investment fraud schemes, known as 'pig butchering' scams, that stole billions of dollars from victims in the United States and around the world," the department said, adding that Zhi had not been apprehended.
The statement added that Zhi had held the bitcoin in unhosted crypto wallets that he personally held the keys to, and he and others used funds for "luxury travel and entertainment and to make extravagant purchases such as watches, yachts, private jets, vacation homes, high-end collectables, and rare artwork, including a Picasso painting purchased through an auction house in New York City."
Pig butchering schemes are a particular type of fraud in which a criminal builds a rapport with the victim, getting them to send cash or crypto before disappearing with their money. A study last year said pig butchering scams had netted $75 billion for criminals.
"As alleged, the defendant was the mastermind behind a sprawling cyber-fraud empire operating under the Prince Group umbrella, a criminal enterprise built on human suffering. Trafficked workers were confined in prison-like compounds and forced to carry out online scams on an industrial scale," the department said.
Crypto crime has been on the rise broadly as the market has exploded in value, and AI has been a boon for scammers. A study from Chainalysis said that AI tools boosted revenue from crypto scams to record levels last year, with many criminals utilizing AI to create fake identities and evade verification controls.
Read the original article on Business Insider
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What Would Happen If Russia Attacked Ukraine With A Tactical Nuclear Weapon?
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Truth About Russia ·
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Answered by
Geoffrey Sea
3y
If Russia were to use tactical nuclear weapons in Ukraine, how would the West react?
Here’s what would happen: There would be no western military unconventional response. The fallout cloud would be tracked as it moves over Russia, perhaps creating as many Russian casualties as Ukrainian. World media would broadcast the extraordinary amount of human suffering while all countries around the world would offer humanitarian assistance to Ukraine. Russia would receive no such aid, making the catastrophe in Russia much worse.
Putin would likely be immediately shot by one of his generals. Meanwhile, Russian generals and ministers would beg their US counterparts to not respond. It would be admitted that the attack had been a mistake, and Putin’s assassination would be advertised.
NATO would take certain conventional measures. Kaliningrad would be surrounded with NATO forces and put under siege, leading to the rapid depletion of food supplies there, and in Transnistria. Demands for Russian surrender in Kaliningrad, Transnistria, Crimea, Donetsk, and Abkhazia would be issued and would likely be adhered to.
Meanwhile the NATO governments would draw up surrender terms for the Russian government. These terms would include: 1. Immediate withdrawal of all Russian occupation forces and Russian nationals from all of Ukraine as well as from Kaliningrad, Moldova, and Georgia. 2. Immediate surrender of all those involved in the nuclear decision to a war crimes tribunal at the Hague, along with all accused of war crimes in Ukraine, 3. An immediate vow of the new Russian government to eliminate its entire nuclear arsenal under international supervision. 4. Russia-wide national elections entirely under international administration. 5. Support for the independence of any Russian region that asserts it.
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