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Saturday, October 28, 2017

Which One Of Trump's Cronies Will Be Indicted On Monday October 30, 2017?

Those of us older are familiar with an odds maker named "Jimmy The Greek." He would give you odds on who would win a football or baseball game. He would give you the odds on who would win an election. He might even give you odds on the possibility of a nuclear war between the US and North Korea.

What would "Jimmy The Greek" predict about the unsealing of the first Federal indictments in the Mueller investigation on Monday?

He would give you very high odds that Paul Manafort, Carter Paige, and General Michael Flynn would be indicted. For the most part, these charges will be very routine Federal criminal charges including making false statements on security clearance and other government documents, income tax evasion, money-laundering, etc. Some of Trump's family members might be caught up in these routine criminal charges.

Probabilities get much lower when we start to talk about Russian influence peddling, election meddling, etc. My feeling is that there has not been enough time to develop such charges.

There is an extremely-low probability that Trump, Vice-President Pence or Putin will be indicted.

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