With only 45 days left until election day, the race for 270 electoral college votes is still too close to call. Democratic candidate Hillary Clinton and Republican candidate Donald Trump need 270 electoral college votes to win the presidency. Both candidates will be paying attention to toss-up states such as Florida, North Carolina and Arizona.
States where the difference in poll numbers between Clinton and Trump is less than 5% are classed as 'toss-up' states, those with a difference of over 10% are classed as 'solid'.
Donald Trump suggested at a town hall on “African-American issues” on Wednesday that he would institute a nationwide version of “stop-and-frisk”, a controversial policing tactic, to reduce crime in predominantly black communities. Polls show large majorities of African-Americans oppose it.
The candidates are focusing their attention on states where the races are too close to call. These toss-up states are shown in the table below, which ranks all 50 states and the District of Columbia by polling average, showing the closest races first.
National polling average based on four-way race (%)
The chart above displays the two leading presidential candidates, Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump. Two other candidates with significant support are Libertarian candidate Gary Johnson, who is polling at 8.8 per cent, and Green Party candidate Jill Stein, who is polling at 2.8 per cent. Read about our methodology.
Methodology: The FT poll tracker is based on Real Clear Politics (RCP) data and updates at least five times a day as polls are added by RCP staff.
The poll tracker is based on a four-way race, which includes Democratic candidate Hillary Clinton, Republican candidate Donald Trump, Libertarian candidate Gary Johnson and Green Party candidate Jill Stein. In states where Stein is not on the ballot (Nevada, Oklahoma and South Dakota), a three-way polling