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Tuesday, March 10, 2020

Is A Middle East Oil War Coming?


Your morning briefing...yesterday Saudi Arabia did something very courageous. They cut oil prices 30%. Saudi Arabia has massive amounts of crude oil in the ground. It is also is the lowest cost producer of oil in the world.
     I emphasize to people that one needs to always think in three dimensions. When you take a bold and controversial action, you have to carefully consider how those hurt by your action will react. In this case two countries that will be deeply hurt by the Saudi action are Iran and Russia. These two countries are allies.
    Some months ago, Iranian-backed militias attacked a Saudi oil production facility and put it out of action for several weeks. The US and Saudi Arabia took no military action against Iran. This has made the Iranians bold. They could launch a major attack on the Saudi oilfields and knock them out. They would not fear a military response from the Saudi Arabia or the US.


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